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Ecological indicators of mammal exposure to Ebolavirus

Authors: John Paul Schmidt; Sean Maher; John M. Drake; Tao Huang; Maxwell J. Farrell; Barbara A. Han;

Ecological indicators of mammal exposure to Ebolavirus

Abstract

Much of the basic ecology of Ebolavirus remains unresolved despite accumulating disease outbreaks, viral strains and evidence of animal hosts. Because human Ebolavirus epidemics have been linked to contact with wild mammals other than bats, traits shared by species that have been infected by Ebolavirus and their phylogenetic distribution could suggest ecological mechanisms contributing to human Ebolavirus spillovers. We compiled data on Ebolavirus exposure in mammals and corresponding data on life-history traits, movement, and diet, and used boosted regression trees (BRT) to identify predictors of exposure and infection for 119 species (hereafter hosts). Mapping the phylogenetic distribution of presumptive Ebolavirus hosts reveals that they are scattered across several distinct mammal clades, but concentrated among Old World fruit bats, primates and artiodactyls. While sampling effort was the most important predictor, explaining nearly as much of the variation among hosts as traits, BRT models distinguished hosts from all other species with greater than 97% accuracy, and revealed probable Ebolavirus hosts as large-bodied, frugivorous, and with slow life histories. Provisionally, results suggest that some insectivorous bat genera, Old World monkeys and forest antelopes should receive priority in Ebolavirus survey efforts. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Dynamic and integrative approaches to understanding pathogen spillover’.

Keywords

*Host-Pathogen Interactions, *host, bats, bat, *Diet, *Animal Distribution, *Life History Traits, Ebolavirus/physiology, *boosted regression trees, Chiroptera, Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology/transmission/*veterinary/virology, Animals, Animalia, *Ebola, *comparative analysis, Chordata, Life History Traits, Mammals, *frugivory, *Mammals, Articles, Biodiversity, Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola, Ebolavirus, Diet, Africa/epidemiology, Africa, Host-Pathogen Interactions, Mammalia, Animal Distribution

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    popularity
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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
25
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
hybrid