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Conditional variable importance for random forests

Authors: Carolin Strobl; Anne-Laure Boulesteix; Thomas Kneib; Thomas Augustin 0001; Achim Zeileis;

Conditional variable importance for random forests

Abstract

Random forests are becoming increasingly popular in many scientific fields because they can cope with ``small n large p'' problems, complex interactions and even highly correlated predictor variables. Their variable importance measures have recently been suggested as screening tools for, e.g., gene expression studies. However, these variable importance measures show a bias towards correlated predictor variables. We identify two mechanisms responsible for this finding: (i) A preference for the selection of correlated predictors in the tree building process and (ii) an additional advantage for correlated predictor variables induced by the unconditional permutation scheme that is employed in the computation of the variable importance measure. Based on these considerations we develop a new, conditional permutation scheme for the computation of the variable importance measure. The resulting conditional variable importance is shown to reflect the true impact of each predictor variable more reliably than the original marginal approach.

Countries
Austria, Austria, Germany
Keywords

Biometry, QH301-705.5, Computer applications to medicine. Medical informatics, R858-859.7, bats, bat, Biochemistry, Statistics, Nonparametric, Major Histocompatibility Complex, Chiroptera, Animalia, Amino Acid Sequence, Biology (General), Chordata, Molecular Biology, Binding Sites, Methodology Article, Decision Trees, Computational Biology, Biodiversity, Computer Science Applications, Research Design, Mammalia, Regression Analysis, Factor Analysis, Statistical, Feature selection, screening, bagging, CART

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    3K
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 0.1%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3K
Top 0.01%
Top 0.1%
Top 1%
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gold