Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ ZENODOarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
ZENODO
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
versions View all 2 versions
addClaim

The Evaluation of Construction Projects Time Overrun and Cost Overrun Using Machine Learning Method: A Case of Jordan

Authors: Rula Said Butrus Massad;

The Evaluation of Construction Projects Time Overrun and Cost Overrun Using Machine Learning Method: A Case of Jordan

Abstract

Time and cost overruns have become significant obstacles to completing construction projects worldwide. Researchers have long investigated the causes behind these delays and budget overruns to address the problem. This study sheds light on well-established assessment methods designed to predict these overruns. Despite significant efforts to mitigate them, these issues continue to plague the construction industry globally. To gain a deeper understanding, experts were first consulted to review existing knowledge on factors contributing to construction project delays. A hyper-parameter optimized predictive model was developed using artificial neural network (ANN) machine learning algorithms trained with quantitative data. The study, which focused on 191 construction projects completed in Jordan between 2011 and 2021, aimed to delve into the prevalence of time and cost overruns. The findings showed that the model's predictive accuracy for time overruns achieved an R² value of 0.9385 with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 21.7090, while for cost overruns, the R² was 0.938478 with an MAE of 0.057. Notably, the ANN model outperformed existing reference models. The neural network has proven to be a valuable tool in the early design phase, mainly when data for analyzing potential overruns is limited. This approach can yield more accurate predictions and significantly reduce forecast errors.

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    1
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green
Related to Research communities