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InteractiveResource . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
InteractiveResource . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
versions View all 2 versions
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Know your correlation: An interactive game

Will I fail? It depends!
Authors: Hillier, John;

Know your correlation: An interactive game

Abstract

Read the README file! Summary of activity: A dice-rolling game, simulating 6 causes of loss (i.e. possible hazards) and how dependency affects the chance of loss exceeding a threshold. Why is the training important: In short, because diversification is the basis of all (re)insurance, and correlation (a.k.a. dependency) destroys diversification. So, it’s fundamental. If we get dependency wrong, we mis-estimate risk, mis-price risk etc …. Key themes: Raising awareness of dependency (e.g. between hazards, lines of business, peril-regions) What is it? Why does it matter in my day job? The main metrics – Annual average loss (AAL) and 1-in-200 year return period losses. With limited events (observed or simulated), how do we cautiously interpret simulation modelling? Level & Audience: Introductory level, for the widest audience. No equations! For relatively new starters in the field of catastrophe risk management, or PhD students studying compound or multi-hazard risk. It can also serve as a reminder to those experienced in modelling dependency. Duration: ~1h of effort.

Related Organizations
Keywords

Co-occurring hazards, Insurance, Natural hazard, Risk correlation, Dependency, compound risk

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average