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Global Technological Perspectives In The Light Of Cybernetic Revolution And Theory Of Long Cycles

Authors: Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L.;

Global Technological Perspectives In The Light Of Cybernetic Revolution And Theory Of Long Cycles

Abstract

In the present paper, on the basis of the theory of production principles and production revolutions, we reveal the interrelation between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and make some predictions about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave in the light of the Cybernetic Revolution which, we think, started in the 1950s. We assume that the sixth K-wave in the 2030s and 2040s will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call the phase of self-regulating systems). This period will be characterized by breakthroughs in medical technologies which will manage to combine many other technologies into a single complex of MBNRIC-technologies (med-bio-nano-robo-info-cognitive technologies). The article offers some predictions concerning the development of these technologies.

Keywords

PRODUCTION REVOLUTIONS,PRODUCTION PRINCIPLE,INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION,CYBERNETIC REVOLUTION,SELF-REGULATING SYSTEMS,KONDRATIEFF WAVES,FOURTH K-WAVE,FIFTH K-WAVE,SIXTH K-WAVE,WORLD SYSTEM,CENTER,PERIPHERY,MEDICINE,BIOTECHNOLOGIES,NANOTECHNOLOGIES,ROBOTICS,COGNITIVE TECHNOLOGIES, production revolutions, Kondratieff waves, biotechnologies, cognitive technologies, nanotechnologies, production revolutions; production principle; Industrial Revolution; Cybernetic Revolution; self-regulating systems; Kondratieff waves; fourth K-wave; fifth K-wave; sixth K-wave; World System; center; periphery; medicine; biotechnologies; nanotechnologies; robotics; cognitive technologies

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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