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The Tiger And The Dragon. Development Models And Perspectives Of India And China

Authors: Grinin, Leonid;

The Tiger And The Dragon. Development Models And Perspectives Of India And China

Abstract

In the coming decades in the process of globalization the position of the USA and Europe will weaken, while the role of developing countries will increase. The role of the two largest emerging economies – China and India – will be of special significance. What future will these fast-growing giants face? The demographers agree that pretty soon India will lead the world in population and thus surpass China, while China will encounter serious ageing population problems. But economic and political scenarios of the future are quite different: from resounding success and world leadership to collapse caused by demographic and socio-politic al troubles. Which of them is more feasible? In the present article I analyze the Chinese and Indian development models separately and comparatively and make a forecast of their perspectives in the 21st century. Such an analysis could be helpful for understanding Russia's ways of development.

Keywords

China, democracy, China; globalization; Indian model; emerging economies; struggle against poverty; democracy; authoritarianism, Indian model, India, struggle against poverty, authorutarianism, centre, [SHS.PHIL] Humanities and Social Sciences/Philosophy, authoritarianism, [SHS.HISPHILSO] Humanities and Social Sciences/History, Philosophy and Sociology of Sciences, [SHS.HIST] Humanities and Social Sciences/History, Chinese model, periphery, ageing population problems, the Third World, East Asian model, development, USA, globalization, emerging economies

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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