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The Sixth Kondratieff Wave And The Cybernetic Revolution

Authors: Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton;

The Sixth Kondratieff Wave And The Cybernetic Revolution

Abstract

In the present paper, on the basis of the theory of production principles and production revolutions, we reveal the interrelation between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and make forecasts about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave in the light of the Cybernetic Revolution that, from our point of view, started in the 1950s. We assume that the sixth K-wave in the 2030s and 2040s will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call a phase of self-regulating systems). This period will be characterized by the breakthrough in medical technologies which will be capable to combine many other technologies into a single complex of MBNRIC-technologies (med-bio-nano-robo-info-cognitive technologies). The article offers some forecasts concerning the development of these technologies.

Keywords

medicine, production revolutions, industrial revolution, Produktionstheorie, cognitive technologies, self-regulating systems, [SHS.PHIL] Humanities and Social Sciences/Philosophy, revolution, periphery, fifth K-wave, biotechnologies, fourth, Nanotechnologie, Revolution, economic development (on national level), robotics, nanotechnology, Zukunft, [SHS.HIST] Humanities and Social Sciences/History, Theorie, self-regulation, future, K-wave, production principle, industrielle Revolution, Kybernetik, sixth K-wave, Industrial Revolution, Wirtschaftsentwicklung, production revolution; production principle; Industrial revolution; Cybernetic Revolution; self-regulating systems, Medizintechnik, center, [SHS.HISPHILSO] Humanities and Social Sciences/History, Philosophy and Sociology of Sciences, Kondratieff waves, Roboter, theory, production theory, cybernetics, historische Entwicklung, robot, World System, historical development, medical technology, Cybernetic Revolution, Selbststeuerung, nanotechnologies, fourth K-wave

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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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