Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
ZENODOarrow_drop_down
ZENODO
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
versions View all 4 versions
addClaim

This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.

You have already added 0 works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.

DIRECTION DETECTION OF SELECTED PHARMACEUTICAL STOCKS USING MACHINE LEARNING

Authors: Malathi M; J B Simha;

DIRECTION DETECTION OF SELECTED PHARMACEUTICAL STOCKS USING MACHINE LEARNING

Abstract

A direction is a trend that the market follows throughout a specific time period. Trends can be both upward and downward, corresponding to bullish and bearish markets. Direction detection is an excellent way to predict how the market will move in the future, and it can assist investors in shifting the odds in their favor while trading. Understanding the direction of the stock market is of the utmost importance for any approach that investors take in the market. An investor could suffer substantial losses if invested in a stock without knowing its direction and it happens to be in a prolonged slump. Investor may buy high and sell low if they do not grasp the stock's history and current direction. There are many algorithms available to investors that can pinpoint the exact closing price of any stock without revealing the direction of the closing price. This study uses a variety of machine learning classification methods to try and forecast the direction of the given stock. This study's goal is to create the best models possible by combining several modelling techniques and investigating innovative ways to reduce direction prediction mistakes. The dataset includes daily closing prices of a stock for the previous 22 years, and different models are employed to predict direction changes based on 2% and 4% differences in percentage change in close price. The rule classifies these changes as either positive or no change. To enhance prediction accuracy, technical analysis indicators like Average True Range (ATR) and Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) are also integrated as feature variables. The class Imbalance problem is solved using the SMOTE over-sampling technique. Multiple classification models are developed to assess their predictive accuracy, with the Random Forest (RF) model showing the highest accuracy of 91% for 2% variation and 96% for 4% variation in closing price. Also, Neural Networks provided the next best results in predicting stock price direction with 85% accuracy for 2% variation and 95% accuracy for 4% variation. The key takeaway from this is the significant utility of diverse classification modeling techniques in effectively forecasting the direction of closing prices for the stock in question.

Related Organizations
  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green
Upload OA version
Are you the author? Do you have the OA version of this publication?