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Expected Present Value Of Losses In The Computation Of Optimum Seismic Design Parameters

Authors: J. García-Pérez;

Expected Present Value Of Losses In The Computation Of Optimum Seismic Design Parameters

Abstract

{"references": ["E. Rosenblueth, \"Closure to probabilistic design to resist earthquakes\", Journal of the Engineering Mechanics Div. Proc. ASCE, 90, 1964.", "L. Esteva, \"Bases para la formulaci\u00f3n de dise\u00f1o s\u00edsmico\", PhD thesis, Faculty of Engineering, UNAM, 1968.", "J. R. Benjamin, J.R., and A:C: Cornell, \"Probability, Statistics and Decision for Civil Engineers\", McGraw-Hill, New York. 1970.", "A. Tversky, and D. Kahneman, \"Advances in prospect theory: cumulative representation of uncertainty\". J Risk Uncertainty, 5: 297- 323, 1992.", "B. Gutenberg, and C.F. Richter, 1954. \"Seismicity of the earth\", Princeton University Press, Princeton, 1954.", "C. A. Cornell, and E. Vanmarcke, \"The major influences on seismic risk\", Proceedings of the IV world congress in earthquake engineering, A 169-183. 1969.", "S. K. Singh, M. Rodr\u00edguez, and L. 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Ria\u00f1o, \"Optimum seismic zoning using an artificial neural network\", accepted for publication in Earthquake Spectra, may, 2015.\n[33]\tJ. Garc\u00eda-P\u00e9rez, F. Castellanos, and O. D\u00edaz, \"Occupancy importance factor in earthquake engineering\", Engineering Structures, 27, 1625-32, 2005."]}

An approach to compute optimum seismic design parameters is presented. It is based on the optimization of the expected present value of the total cost, which includes the initial cost of structures as well as the cost due to earthquakes. Different types of seismicity models are considered, including one for characteristic earthquakes. Uncertainties are included in some variables to observe the influence on optimum values. Optimum seismic design coefficients are computed for three different structural types representing high, medium and low rise buildings, located near and far from the seismic sources. Ordinary and important structures are considered in the analysis. The results of optimum values show an important influence of seismicity models as well as of uncertainties on the variables.

Keywords

seismic losses, optimum parameters, seismic risk, total cost., Importance factors

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