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Other literature type . 2021
License: CC BY SA
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Thesis . 2021
License: CC BY SA
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Thesis . 2021
License: CC BY SA
Data sources: Datacite
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Effect of neural network design on lagrangian ocean modelling uncertainty

Authors: Sarna, Jagmeet Singh;

Effect of neural network design on lagrangian ocean modelling uncertainty

Abstract

Physicists have access to Lagrangian ocean models to predict particle densities, where they have certain sets of parameters which they can change to alter the simulation results. The issue with it is that these simulations are fixed. They will not vary every time they run their models, so the question of having uncertainty measurements is not possible. To have some form of uncertainty measurements in the prediction of particle densities, we explore the use of multi-headed Convolutional LSTM (ConvLSTM) for forecasting particle densities and present the network’s confidence in its predictions. We make use of Bayesian approximation techniques to do so. We train and test our network on data generated by Lagrangian ocean simulators. We investigate how different design choices of the network effect the confidence of the model’s predictions. Our experiments show that while the network has struggled with the output accuracy, it represents its shortcomings in its confidence measurements.

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Keywords

Deep Learning, Lagrangian Ocean Modelling, Machine learning, Uncertainty Quantification, Deep learning, Bayesian statistics, Supervised learning, Lagrangian Modelling

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
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