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Article . 2014
License: CC BY
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Article . 2014
License: CC BY
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Volatility Model With Markov Regime Switching To Forecast Baht/Usd

Authors: N. Sopipan; A. Intarasit; K. Chuarkham;

Volatility Model With Markov Regime Switching To Forecast Baht/Usd

Abstract

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In this paper, we forecast the volatility of Baht/USDs using Markov Regime Switching GARCH (MRS-GARCH) models. These models allow volatility to have different dynamics according to unobserved regime variables. The main purpose of this paper is to find out whether MRS-GARCH models are an improvement on the GARCH type models in terms of modeling and forecasting Baht/USD volatility. The MRS-GARCH is the best performance model for Baht/USD volatility in short term but the GARCH model is best perform for long term.

Keywords

Volatility, Forecasting., Markov Regime Switching

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This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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