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ZENODO
Model . 2023
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
ZENODO
Model . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Model . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Model . 2023
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Model . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Generalised SIRS network (multi-city) model of spatial contagion

Authors: Jamerlan, Christina M.; Prokopenko, Mikhail;

Generalised SIRS network (multi-city) model of spatial contagion

Abstract

Spatial contagions, such as pandemics, opinion polarisation, infodemics, and civil unrest, exhibit nontrivial spatiotemporal patterns and dynamics driven by complex human behaviours and population mobility. Here we propose a concise generic framework to model different contagion types within a suitably defined contagion vulnerability space. This space comprises risk disposition, considered in terms of bounded risk aversion and adaptive responsiveness, and a generalised susceptibility acquisition. We show that resultant geospatial contagion configurations follow intricate Turing patterns observed in reaction-diffusion systems. Pattern formation is shown to be highly sensitive to changes in underlying vulnerability parameters. The identified critical regimes (tipping points) imply that slight changes in susceptibility acquisition and perceived local risks can significantly alter the population flow and resultant contagion patterns. We examine a case study of the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia, demonstrating that the observed geo-spatial pandemic spread generated Turing patterns in accordance with the proposed model. The paper describing the framework, model and results: Jamerlan, C. M. and Prokopenko M. 2024. Bounded risk disposition explains Turing patterns and tipping points during spatial contagions. R. Soc. Open Sci. 11: 240457. http://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.240457 Please cite this paper and references below when using the model.

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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Average
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