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Abstract. Soil organic carbon (SOC) stored in northern peatlands and permafrost affected soils are key components in the global carbon cycle. I quantify SOC stocks in a sub-arctic mountainous peatland environment in the discontinuous permafrost zone in Abisko, northern Sweden. Four machine-learning techniques are evaluated: multiple linear regression, artificial neural networks, support vector machine and random forest. The random forest approach performed best and was used to predict SOC for several depth increments at a spatial resolution of 2 ×2 m. A high-resolution (1 × 1 m) land cover classification generated for this study is the most relevant predictive variable. The landscape mean SOC storage (0–150 cm) is estimated to 7.9 ± 8.0 kg C m−2 and the SOC stored in the top meter (0–100 cm) to 7.0 ± 6.3 kg C m−2. The predictive modeling highlights the relative importance of wetland areas and in particular peat plateaus for the landscape SOC storage. A surprising large number of small scale wetland areas are mapped forming very local hot-spots of SOC storage. The results show that robust SOC predictions are possible with the available methods and very high-resolution remote sensing data. Strong environmental gradients associated with land cover and permafrost distribution are the most challenging methodological aspect. However, in this study, at local, regional and circum-Arctic scale the main factor limiting robust, high-resolution SOC mapping efforts is the scarcity of soil pedon data from across the entire environmental space. For the Absiko region, past SOC and permafrost dynamics indicate that most of the SOC is barely 2000 years old and very dynamic in wetland areas with permafrost related landforms. Future research needs to investigate the geomorphic response of permafrost degradation and the fate of SOC across all landscape compartments in post-permafrost landscapes.
QE1-996.5, Physical Geography, Naturgeografi, Ecology, Life, QH501-531, Geology, QH540-549.5
QE1-996.5, Physical Geography, Naturgeografi, Ecology, Life, QH501-531, Geology, QH540-549.5
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