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Article . 2019
License: CC BY
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Article . 2019
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Modeling of Road Accidents Using the Model of I Interactive Highway Safety Design (Case Study: Roads of Qazvin, Zanjan and Hamadan)

Authors: Reza Shamsashtiany; Mahmoud Ameri;

Modeling of Road Accidents Using the Model of I Interactive Highway Safety Design (Case Study: Roads of Qazvin, Zanjan and Hamadan)

Abstract

Although the increasing expansion of traffic in cities has increased economic and welfare benefits, it has, on the contrary, increased the number and severity of traffic accidents. Reducing the number of victims and injuries caused by road accidents in any common moral-value system is urgent and inevitable. In this way finding effective factors on the severity of road injuries can be considered as an effective step towards achieving the values. Finding effective factors on severity of injuries, with emphasis on statistical efficacy of effective policy-making factors, will be used as an appropriate tool in the middle level of road safety management. Accident prediction results using MATLAB software in selected roads showed that although this model, by choosing the appropriate calibration factor and using the appropriate parameters and high precision, can produce good outputs, but the results are less accurate than the MLP. The statistical analysis of the observed values ​​and the predicted crash values ​​showed that their differences were not statistically significant at the 5% confidence level, and their results could be used to predict crashes and determine future conditions.

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Keywords

two lane roads, crash prediction, MATLAB software, Interactive Highway Safety Design

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average