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ZENODO
Article . 2017
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
Business and Economic Horizons
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Description of world GDP rate changes by using discrete dynamic model

Authors: Kilyachkov, Anatoly; Chaldaeva, Larisa; Kilyachkov, Nikolay;

Description of world GDP rate changes by using discrete dynamic model

Abstract

The rate of world GDP is changing periodically. A discrete dynamic model (DDM) describes this process. The model is based on the assumption that the global economy has certain “inertia”. This allows us to describe the rate of change of global GDP in the subsequent year as a function of its change in the preceding year. This function can be approximated by using a finite number of terms of its Taylor series. A methodologically more rigorous approach is proposed for approximating the rate of world GDP change on non-overlapping time intervals. Radii of convergence were determined for approximating polynomials for these time ranges. Studies have shown the dependence of the shape of the radius of convergence from the nature of the convergence. DDM has a practical significance because it allows identifying the change in a character of economic dynamics without prior assumptions about the factors driving this trend.

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Keywords

Economic cycles, attractive fixed points, periodic points, strange attractor, radii of convergence

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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