
Abstract Opioid substitution and syringes exchange programs have drastically reduced hepatitis C virus (HCV) spread in France but HCV sexual transmission in men having sex with men (MSM) has recently arisen as a significant public health concern. The fact that the virus is transmitting in a heterogeneous population, with ‘new’ and ‘classical’ hosts, makes prevalence and incidence rates poorly informative. However, additional insights can be gained by analyzing virus phylogenies inferred from dated genetic sequence data. By combining a phylodynamics approach based on Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) and an original transmission model, we estimate key epidemiological parameters of an ongoing HCV epidemic among MSMs in Lyon (France). We show that this new epidemic is largely independent of the ‘classical’ HCV epidemics and that its doubling time is ten times lower (0.44 years versus 4.37 years). These results have practical implications for HCV control and illustrate the additional information provided by virus genomics in public health.
Male, QH301-705.5, Sexual Behavior, Hepacivirus, [SDV.BID.SPT] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Biodiversity/Systematics, Phylogenetics and taxonomy, [SDV.BID.EVO] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Biodiversity/Populations and Evolution [q-bio.PE], [SDV.EE.ECO] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment/Ecosystems, [SDV.EE.SANT] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment/Health, Humans, Biology (General), Homosexuality, Male, Epidemics, Phylogeny, [SDV.MP.VIR] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Microbiology and Parasitology/Virology, [SDV.BIBS] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Quantitative Methods [q-bio.QM], [SDV.EE.IEO] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment/Symbiosis, RC581-607, Hepatitis C, [SDE.BE] Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology, [SDV.SPEE] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologie, [SDV.GEN.GPO] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Genetics/Populations and Evolution [q-bio.PE], Female, [INFO.INFO-MO] Computer Science [cs]/Modeling and Simulation, France, Immunologic diseases. Allergy, Research Article
Male, QH301-705.5, Sexual Behavior, Hepacivirus, [SDV.BID.SPT] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Biodiversity/Systematics, Phylogenetics and taxonomy, [SDV.BID.EVO] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Biodiversity/Populations and Evolution [q-bio.PE], [SDV.EE.ECO] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment/Ecosystems, [SDV.EE.SANT] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment/Health, Humans, Biology (General), Homosexuality, Male, Epidemics, Phylogeny, [SDV.MP.VIR] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Microbiology and Parasitology/Virology, [SDV.BIBS] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Quantitative Methods [q-bio.QM], [SDV.EE.IEO] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment/Symbiosis, RC581-607, Hepatitis C, [SDE.BE] Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology, [SDV.SPEE] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologie, [SDV.GEN.GPO] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Genetics/Populations and Evolution [q-bio.PE], Female, [INFO.INFO-MO] Computer Science [cs]/Modeling and Simulation, France, Immunologic diseases. Allergy, Research Article
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| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
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