Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Buletin Teknik Elekt...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
Buletin Teknik Elektro dan Informatika
Article . 2026 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY SA
Data sources: Crossref
addClaim

A framework for multi-interval optimal power flow under solar energy penetration

Authors: Ricky Maulana; Syafii Syafii; Aulia Aulia;

A framework for multi-interval optimal power flow under solar energy penetration

Abstract

The increasing penetration of renewable energy introduces variability and uncertainty into power system operations, thus requiring accurate forecasting methods to ensure reliable and economical scheduling. This study presents a multi-interval day-ahead optimal power flow (OPF) analysis integrated with photovoltaic (PV) generation, where hourly PV forecasts are obtained using the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) (1,0,1)(4,0,3)24 model. The forecast results achieved low error values (root mean square error (RMSE)=0.354, normalized RMSE (NRMSE)=4.192%, mean absolute error (MAE)=0.202), successfully capturing the daily PV generation pattern and providing sufficiently accurate input for the OPF simulation. The forecasted PV profiles were then integrated into a multi-interval OPF framework using the MATPOWER interior point solver (MIPS) solver. Results show that PV integration reduces system operating costs compared to cases without PV, with cost savings observed at various time intervals (e.g., reduction from $802.22/hour to $780.65/hour during PV peak hours). Compared to the conventional single-interval OPF benchmark based on Weibull distribution assumptions for PV, the proposed framework achieves lower average costs ($790.97/hour vs. $869.70/hour) while also reflecting the real variability of solar dynamics and load. Overall, the integrated forecasting-optimization framework demonstrates that SARIMA-based PV forecasting provides reliable inputs for OPF and offers a practical tool to support future system planning and operation with higher renewable energy penetration.

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average