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Part of book or chapter of book . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
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Future Locations Prediction with Uncertain Data

Authors: Disheng Qiu; Paolo Papotti; Lorenzo Blanco;

Future Locations Prediction with Uncertain Data

Abstract

The ability to predict future movements for moving objects enables better decisions in terms of time, cost, and impact on the environment. Unfortunately, future location prediction is a challenging task. Existing works exploit techniques to predict a trip destination, but they are effective only when location data are precise (e.g., GPS data) and movements are observed over long periods of time (e.g., weeks). We introduce a data mining approach based on a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that overcomes these limits and improves existing results in terms of precision of the prediction, for both the route (i.e., trajectory) and the final destination. The model is resistant to uncertain location data, as it works with data collected by using cell-towers to localize the users instead of GPS devices, and reaches good prediction results in shorter times (days instead of weeks in a representative real-world application). Finally, we introduce an enhanced version of the model that is orders of magnitude faster than the standard HMM implementation.

Country
Italy
  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    15
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
15
Average
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze