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Features Inspired PM2.5 Prediction: A Belfast City Case Study

Authors: Fareena Naz; Muhammad Fahim; Adnan Ahmad Cheema; Nguyen Trung Viet; Tuan-Vu Cao; Trung Q. Duong;

Features Inspired PM2.5 Prediction: A Belfast City Case Study

Abstract

Air pollution is one of the key challenges to both human health and our environment, and managing it requires collective systematic efforts to prevent and mitigate future effects. Fundamentally, this required a better understanding of sources that generate pollution and forecasting models to predict current and future air pollution levels. In this work, we investigated features inspired PM2.5 prediction based on a dataset collected in Northern Ireland, UK. We analysed the influence of different features available in the dataset and newly generated with approaches such as Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and evaluated single-step forecasting model performance. We found that a single Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) layer model with a small number of cells and integrated features are sufficient to achieve a good forecasting performance. The combination of VMD integrated features enabled the forecasting model to achieve R2 score over 85% and achieve a gain of 6% when compared with lag based prediction only.

Country
United Kingdom
Keywords

/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/affordable_and_clean_energy, 330, feature generation, name=SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, signal decomposition, health, PM2.5, air quality, name=SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, name=SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/sustainable_cities_and_communities, machine learning, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/affordable_and_clean_energy; name=SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/good_health_and_well_being, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/good_health_and_well_being; name=SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, long short term memory (LSTM), /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/sustainable_cities_and_communities; name=SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities, air pollutant prediction, forecasting models

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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