Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Wiley Interdisciplin...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
Data sources: Crossref
addClaim

El Niño Southern Oscillation Reconstructions During the Last Millennium

Authors: Mandy B. Freund; Danielle C. Verdon‐Kidd; Kathryn J. Allen; Josephine R. Brown;

El Niño Southern Oscillation Reconstructions During the Last Millennium

Abstract

ABSTRACT The El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) constitutes the largest single source of interannual climate variability on a global scale, yet our understanding of its characteristics is limited by a focus on the modern instrumental era. To study ENSO characteristics during the pre‐industrial era we rely on reconstructions of ENSO developed from a range of environmental proxies, documentary sources and palaeoclimate model simulations. Here we review the ENSO reconstructions from a range of sources covering the last millennium to assess characteristics of interannual ENSO variability and examine evidence for changes in ENSO characteristics over time. Despite differences in target variables (i.e., ENSO indices, seasonal window) and record durations, several reconstructions show broadly similar patterns, including periods of reduced ENSO variability in the mid 14th century, mid 18th and 19th centuries, whereas high variance periods were common around the early 14th, 15th and 19th century. Climate model simulations also exhibit modulation of ENSO amplitude over time. However, the extent to which this reflects a forced response remains uncertain. Key differences among reconstructions make it challenging to assess the likelihood of changes in ENSO event frequency or diversity. We suggest that ensembles of pre‐instrumental records, similar to climate model projections, may provide a way forward for improving our understanding of past ENSO variability. Future work that carefully selects or develops proxy records in a way that, for example, targets ENSO diversity or teleconnection stability over time will also lead to further progress. This article is categorized under: Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Paleoclimate Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Modern Climate Change Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Climte Forcing

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!