
AbstractGovernments around the world restricted movement of people, using social distancing and lockdowns, to help stem the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. We examine crime effects for one UK police force area in comparison to 5-year averages. There is variation in the onset of change by crime type, some declining from the WHO ‘global pandemic’ announcement of 11 March, others later. By 1 week after the 23 March lockdown, all recorded crime had declined 41%, with variation: shoplifting (− 62%), theft (− 52%), domestic abuse (− 45%), theft from vehicle (− 43%), assault (− 36%), burglary dwelling (− 25%) and burglary non-dwelling (− 25%). We use Google Covid-19 Community Mobility Reports to calculate the mobility elasticity of crime for four crime types, finding shoplifting and other theft inelastic but responsive to reduced retail sector mobility (MEC = 0.84, 0.71 respectively), burglary dwelling elastic to increases in residential area mobility (− 1), with assault inelastic but responsive to reduced workplace mobility (0.56). We theorise that crime rate changes were primarily caused by those in mobility, suggesting a mobility theory of crime change in the pandemic. We identify implications for crime theory, policy and future research.
Science (General), Research, Mobility theory of crime, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography|Spatial Science, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography, Mobility elasticity of crime, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Sociology, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Sociology, Q1-390, Mobility and crime, Social pathology. Social and public welfare. Criminology, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography|Spatial Science, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Sociology|Criminology, COVID-19 and crime, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences, Movement and crime, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Sociology|Crime, Law, and Deviance, HV1-9960, Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports
Science (General), Research, Mobility theory of crime, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography|Spatial Science, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography, Mobility elasticity of crime, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Sociology, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Sociology, Q1-390, Mobility and crime, Social pathology. Social and public welfare. Criminology, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography|Spatial Science, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Sociology|Criminology, COVID-19 and crime, bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences, Movement and crime, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences, SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Sociology|Crime, Law, and Deviance, HV1-9960, Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports
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