The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement’s aim of 1.5 °C warming
Copyright policy )The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement’s aim of 1.5 °C warming
The United Nations' Paris Agreement includes the aim of pursuing efforts to limit global warming to only 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels. However, it is not clear what the resulting climate would look like across the globe and over time. Here we show that trajectories towards a '1.5 °C warmer world' may result in vastly different outcomes at regional scales, owing to variations in the pace and location of climate change and their interactions with society's mitigation, adaptation and vulnerabilities to climate change. Pursuing policies that are considered to be consistent with the 1.5 °C aim will not completely remove the risk of global temperatures being much higher or of some regional extremes reaching dangerous levels for ecosystems and societies over the coming decades.
- Leibniz Association Germany
- University of Oxford United Kingdom
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research Germany
- University of Washington United States
- University of Western Australia Australia
Conservation of Natural Resources, Paris, Mitigation, 330, 550, Climate, International Cooperation, Extremes, Geographic Mapping, Global Warming, Spatio-Temporal Analysis, Models, Human Activities, Cumulative Carbon Emissions, Consequences, Ecosystem, Stochastic Processes, Land, Temperature, Uncertainty, Scenario, Congresses as Topic, Models, Theoretical, Global Mean Temperature, Environmental Policy, Policy, 1000 General, Budget
Conservation of Natural Resources, Paris, Mitigation, 330, 550, Climate, International Cooperation, Extremes, Geographic Mapping, Global Warming, Spatio-Temporal Analysis, Models, Human Activities, Cumulative Carbon Emissions, Consequences, Ecosystem, Stochastic Processes, Land, Temperature, Uncertainty, Scenario, Congresses as Topic, Models, Theoretical, Global Mean Temperature, Environmental Policy, Policy, 1000 General, Budget
selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources.This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).166 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1%
Citations provided by BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!