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Coasimetría idiosincrática y riesgo de insolvencia en el mercado de valores español

Idiosyncratic coskewness and default risk in the Spanish stock market
Authors: González Urteaga, Ana; Muga Caperos, Luis Fernando; Santamaría Aquilué, Rafael;

Coasimetría idiosincrática y riesgo de insolvencia en el mercado de valores español

Abstract

This is an accepted manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Spanish Journal of Finance and Accounting / Revista Española de Financiación y Contabilidad on September 2013, available online: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02102412.2014.942969 En el presente trabajo se analiza la relación entre el riesgo asimétrico, aproximado por las medidas de coasimetría y coasimetría idiosincrática, y el riesgo de insolvencia en el mercado de valores español. Se ha encontrado que aquellos títulos con mayor riesgo asimétrico proporcionan mayores rentabilidades durante el periodo considerado, en especial aquellos con valores positivos de la medida de coasimetría idiosincrática. Sin embargo, ni los factores de riesgo construidos en base a esta medida, ni el factor de riesgo de coasimetría proporcionan capacidad explicativa a las rentabilidades diferenciales de las carteras convencionales formadas por riesgo de insolvencia, siendo principalmente el factor tamaño (SMB) el que aporta explicación a dichas rentabilidades, tanto en periodos expansivos como durante el periodo de crisis financiera. Los factores de riesgo asimétrico únicamente presentan capacidad explicativa en el caso de carteras con riesgo de insolvencia más extremo y durante el periodo de crisis financiera internacional. This paper analyses the relationship between asymmetric risk, proxied by idiosyncratic coskewness and coskewness measures, and default risk in the Spanish stock market. We have found that those stocks with greater asymmetric risk provide higher returns during the period considered, primarily those with positive idiosyncratic coskewness. However, neither risk factors built based on this measure nor the risk factor for coskewness provides explanatory power for the differential return between the portfolios sorted on default risk. The size factor (SMB) exhibits some explanation power to those returns, both in expansion periods and during the period of financial crisis. Idiosyncratic coskewness risk factors show explanatory capacity only for extreme default risk portfolios and during the international financial crisis period. Deseamos agradecer la ayuda financiera del Ministerio de Economía y Competividad (proyecto ECO2012-35946-C02-01) y Ana Gonzalez-Urteaga al Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (proyecto ECO2012-34268).

Country
Spain
Related Organizations
Keywords

Asymmetric risk, Riesgo de insolvencia, Default risk, Riesgo asimétrico, Idiosyncratic coskewness, Coasimetría idiosincrática

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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