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Journal of Climate
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Journal of Climate
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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Journal of Climate
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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Impact of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on the Northern Winter Stratospheric Polar Vortex in CMIP5/6 Models

Authors: Rao, Jian; Garfinkel, Chaim I.; White, Ian P.;

Impact of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on the Northern Winter Stratospheric Polar Vortex in CMIP5/6 Models

Abstract

AbstractUsing 16 CMIP5/6 models with a spontaneously generated quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO)-like phenomenon, this study investigates the impact of the QBO on the northern winter stratosphere. Eight of the models simulate a QBO with a period similar to that observed (25–31 months), with other models simulating a QBO period of 20–40 months. Regardless of biases in QBO periodicity, the Holton–Tan relationship can be well simulated in CMIP5/6 models with more planetary wave convergence in the polar stratosphere in easterly QBO winters. This wave polar convergence occurs not only due to the Holton–Tan mechanism, but also in the midlatitude upper stratosphere where an Elissen–Palm (E-P) flux divergence dipole (with poleward E-P flux) is simulated in most models. The wave response in the upper stratosphere appears related to changes in the background circulation through a directly excited meridional–vertical circulation cell above the maximum tropical QBO easterly center. The midlatitude upwelling in this anticlockwise cell is split into two branches, and the north branch descends in the Arctic region and warms the stratospheric polar vortex. Most models underestimate the Arctic stratospheric warming in early winter during easterly QBO. Further analysis suggests that this bias is not due to an overly weak response to a given QBO phase, as the models simulate a realistic response if one focuses on similar QBO phases. Rather, the model bias is due to the too-low frequency of strong QBO winds in the lower stratosphere in early winter simulated by the models.

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    37
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
37
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 1%
hybrid