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Short Term Traffic Flow Prediction Using Hybrid ARIMA and ANN Models

Authors: null Dehuai Zeng; null Jianmin Xu; null Jianwei Gu; null Liyan Liu; null Gang Xu;

Short Term Traffic Flow Prediction Using Hybrid ARIMA and ANN Models

Abstract

According to the complexity of the traffic historical data and the randomness of a lot of uncertain factors influence, a hybrid predicting model that combines both autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and multilayer artificial neural network (MLANN) is proposed in this paper. ARIMA is suitable for linear prediction and MLFNN is suitable for nonlinear prediction. This paper also investigates the issue on how to effectively model short term traffic flow time series with a new algorithm, which estimates the weights of the MLFNN and the parameters of ARMA model. Experimental results with real data sets indicate that the combined model can be an effective way to improve forecasting accuracy achieved by either of the models used separately.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
55
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
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