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Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state of the art assessment

Authors: Hall, J.; Arheimer, B.; Borga, M.; Brázdil, R.; Claps, P.; Kiss, A.; Kjeldsen, T. R.; +25 Authors

Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state of the art assessment

Abstract

Abstract. There is growing concern that flooding is becoming more frequent and severe in Europe. A better understanding of flood regime changes and their drivers is therefore needed. The paper reviews the current knowledge on flood regime changes in European rivers that has been obtained through two approaches. The first approach is the detection of change based on observed flood events. Current methods are reviewed together with their challenges and opportunities. For example, observation biases, the merging of different data sources and accounting for non-linear drivers and responses. The second approach consists of modelled scenarios of future floods. Challenges and opportunities are discussed again such as fully accounting for uncertainties in the modelling cascade and feedbacks. To make progress in flood change research, we suggest that a synthesis of these two approaches is needed. This can be achieved by focusing on flood-rich and flood-poor periods rather than on flood trends only, by formally attributing causes of observed flood changes, by validating scenarios against observed flood regime dynamics, and by developing low-dimensional models of flood changes and feedbacks. The paper finishes with a call for a joint European flood change research network.

Countries
France, Spain, Switzerland, Australia, Italy, Italy, Germany, United Kingdom, Italy
Keywords

[SDE] Environmental Sciences, Technology, 550, CLIMATIC CHANGE, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, G, HYDROLOGY, 2312 Water Science and Technology, Rivers, Geography. Anthropology. Recreation, GE1-350, TD1-1066, Cursos d'aigua, Multidisciplinary, 1901 Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous), T, Geology, Floods, Environmental sciences, Europe, REGIME DE CRUE, CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE, Water Resources, Inundacions, Europa, Geosciences, ddc: ddc:550

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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