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Sustainability of India’s Current Account Deficit

Sustainability of India’s Current Account Deficit

Abstract

The study empirically investigates the long-run sustainability of India’s current account deficit and the factors that have affected its current account balance by applying Husted (1992) intertemporal budget constraint model and Keynesian national account identity, respectively. We utilize a different empirical approach and extend the data set. The Pesaran bounds testing approach and the Johansen and Juselius likelihood ratio cointegration tests results suggest that a long-run positive relationship exists between India’s current account inflows and outflows. It implies that the path of India’s current account deficit is sustainable. We find that there is one cointegrating vector between India’s current account balance, fiscal deficit, real effective exchange rate and interest rate. India’s current account balance is statistically significantly affected by fiscal deficit, real effective exchange rate and interest rate. Our finding suggests that fiscal deficit curtailing policy need to be supplemented by a real effective exchange rate devaluation policy, lowering of interest rate and increase in export promotion measures in order to manage presently mounting India’s current account deficit.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average