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The $\kappa$-generalised Distribution for Stock Returns

Authors: Forbes, Samuel;

The $\kappa$-generalised Distribution for Stock Returns

Abstract

Empirical evidence shows stock returns are often heavy-tailed rather than normally distributed. The $\kappa$-generalised distribution, originated in the context of statistical physics by Kaniadakis, is characterised by the $\kappa$-exponential function that is asymptotically exponential for small values and asymptotically power law for large values. This proves to be a useful property and makes it a good candidate distribution for many types of quantities. In this paper we focus on fitting historic daily stock returns for the FTSE 100 and the top 100 Nasdaq stocks. Using a Monte-Carlo goodness of fit test there is evidence that the $\kappa$-generalised distribution is a good fit for a significant proportion of the 200 stock returns analysed.

Keywords

Quantitative Finance - Statistical Finance, Statistics - Applications

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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