Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
addClaim

House Prices for Real – The Determinants of Swedish Nominal Real Estate Prices

Authors: Barksenius, Adam; Rundell, Emil;

House Prices for Real – The Determinants of Swedish Nominal Real Estate Prices

Abstract

We examined what drives Swedish real estate price changes in general and whether or not Swedish real estate is currently overvalued. We examined if money supply is an important factor in particular. In accordance with previous research in the field, we estimated an Error Correction Model (ECM) using quarterly data from 1987-2011 to determine what factors were significant and used these factors to and their coefficients to explain the Swedish real estate price development in this period. We found that bank lending rate, financial wealth, disposable income, unemployment and money supply were determining factors in the short- and/or long-run. The first for factors being significant is in accordance with previous studies, whereas money supply is seldom an explanatory variable in previous research using an ECM model. However, the effect of money shocks on real estate prices has been confirmed in a wide range of studies. Possible policy implications of this finding depend on how money is viewed by the policy maker. Using our long-run model and the actual values of the variables, real estate prices are found to be at their long-run equilibrium and 93.5 percent of the change in real estate prices was explained by the model. We therefore concluded that there is no overvaluation of Swedish real estate.

Country
Sweden
Related Organizations
  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!