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Epidemic curve characteristics for the Reed-Frost model.

Authors: J D, Enderle;

Epidemic curve characteristics for the Reed-Frost model.

Abstract

Some useful approximations are developed in this paper that describe large-scale epidemic phenomena for the deterministic and stochastic Reed-Frost model. These characteristics provide an a priori quantitative description of the epidemic curve for the deterministic case, such as a threshold requirement, the total size of the epidemic, and the degree of skewness in the epidemic curve. A Poisson distribution asymptotically describes the distribution of the total size of an epidemic when the relative removal rate is well below threshold for the Reed-Frost chain binomial model. These properties are established by an extension of the large-scale epidemic phenomena of the Kermack-McKendrick model.

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Keywords

Binomial Distribution, Stochastic Processes, Models, Statistical, Incidence, Humans, Communicable Diseases, Models, Biological, Disease Outbreaks

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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