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Bergen Open Research Archive - UiB
Master thesis . 2016
License: CC BY
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Spatio-Temporal Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models

Authors: Hølleland, Sondre;

Spatio-Temporal Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models

Abstract

This thesis presents a spatio-temporal extension of the GARCH process with a specific spatial dependence structure. Different simulation and estimation techniques are developed. Assuming a circular spatial structure at each time point, gives a closed and finite set of variables at each point in time, making the spatio-temporal process adapted in the temporal dimension. This assumption makes likelihood estimation trivial and we obtain an analytical expression for estimators -- both using maximum likelihood and least squares estimation. On non-circular data, this procedure leads to biased estimates, but we suggest doing a parametric bootstrap bias correction, which turns out to be very effective and improve estimates substantially. We also suggest another approach to apply the circular model to non-circular data, by using a Gibbs sampler and an EM-algorithm.

Country
Norway
Related Organizations
Keywords

753299, 330, STGARCH, 004

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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