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EconStor
Research . 2005
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Outlier detection in GARCH models

Authors: Jurgen A. Doornik; Marius Ooms;

Outlier detection in GARCH models

Abstract

We present a new procedure for detecting multiple additive outliers in GARCH(1,1) models at unknown dates. The outlier candidates are the observations with the largest standardized residual. First, a likelihood-ratio based test determines the presence and timing of an outlier. Next, a second test determines the type of additive outlier (volatility or level). The tests are shown to be similar with respect to the GARCH parameters. Their null distribution can be easily approximated from an extreme value distribution, so that computation of "p"-values does not require simulation. The procedure outperforms alternative methods, especially when it comes to determining the date of the outlier. We apply the method to returns of the Dow Jones index, using monthly, weekly, and daily data. The procedure is extended and applied to GARCH models with Student-"t" distributed errors.

Countries
United Kingdom, Netherlands
Keywords

Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity, GARCH-t, ddc:330, Dummy variable, GARCH, GARCH- t , Outlier detection, C52, Extreme value distribution, Dummy variable, Outlier detection, G10, Dummy variable; Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity; GARCH-t; Outlier detection; Extreme value distribution, C22, jel: jel:C52, jel: jel:C22, jel: jel:G10

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green