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The Backing of Government Debt and the Price Level

Authors: CASTRO, Rui; RESENDE, Carlos; RUGE-MURCIA, Francisco J.;

handle: 1866/511

The Backing of Government Debt and the Price Level

Abstract

Dans cet article, nous étudions la dépendance entre les politiques fiscales et monétaires et leur rôle conjoint dans la détermination du niveau des prix. Dans le cadre étudié, une politique fiscale de long terme permet à l'État de supporter une part d d'une importante dette publique par la valeur présente escomptée des excédents primaires courants et futurs. Le reste de la dette est supporté par seigneuriage. Le paramètre d illustre la dépendance entre les autorités monétaires et fiscales. Nous montrons que dans une économie monétaire standard, cette règle de politique implique que le niveau des prix ne dépend pas uniquement du stock de monnaie, mais aussi de la part de la dette supportée par la monnaie. Dans une application empirique, nous estimons les valeurs de d pour les pays de l'OCDE à partir de données sur la consommation nominale, la base monétaire et la dette publique. Selon nos résultats, la dette semble jouer un rôle mineur dans la détermination du niveau des prix de ces économies. De plus, les estimations de d sont en accord avec les mesures habituelles d'indépendance des banques centrales.

This paper studies the interdependence between fiscal and monetary policies, and their joint role in the determination of the price level. The government is characterized by a long-run fiscal policy rule whereby a given fraction of the outstanding debt, say d, is backed by the present discounted value of current and future primary surpluses. The remaining debt is backed by seigniorage revenue. The parameter d characterizes the interdependence between fiscal and monetary authorities. It is shown that in a standard monetary economy, this policy rule implies that the price level depends not only on the money stock, but also on the proportion of debt that is backed with money. Empirical estimates of d are obtained for OECD countries using data on nominal consumption, monetary base, and debt. Results indicate that debt plays only a minor role in the determination of the price level in these economies. Estimates of d correlate well with institutional measures of central bank independence.

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Canada
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Keywords

[JEL:E50] Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - General, banque centrale, [JEL:E63] Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - Macroeconomic Policy Formation, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, and General Outlook - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization, Ricardian/Non-Ricardian regimes, licy rules, central banking, régimes ricardiens et non ricardiens, [JEL:E63] Macroéconomie et économie monétaire - Aspects macroéconomiques de la finance publique, politique macroéconomique et approche générale - Analyse comparative ou jointe de la politique monétaire ou fiscale et de stabilisation, policy rules, [JEL:E42] Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - Money and Interest Rates - Monetary Systems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System, [JEL:E42] Macroéconomie et économie monétaire - Monnaie et taux d'intérêt - Standards et régimes monétaires, gouvernement et système monétaire, règles de politique, Ricardian/Non-Ricardian regimes, [JEL:E50] Macroéconomie et économie monétaire - Politique monétaire, banque centrale, masse monétaire et crédit - Généralités, Ricardian/Non-Ricardian regimes, policy rules, central banking, [JEL:E31] Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation, [JEL:E31] Macroéconomie et économie monétaire - Prix, fluctuations des affaires, inflation et cycles économiques - Niveau des prix, inflation, déflation, central banking, jel: jel:E50, jel: jel:E63, jel: jel:E31, jel: jel:E42

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
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