
pmid: 12913923
To assess the additional predictive value of anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) antibodies above conventional variables for progressive erosive or disabling disease in a cohort of patients with early inflammatory oligo- and polyarthritis. Methods. Consecutive new patients with peripheral arthritis of > 2 joints and 5 (Sharp-van der Heijde units) and low functional capacity as a Health Assessment Questionnaire score > 1. For the statistical analysis, a logistic regression model was used.A total of 282 patients [68% female, median age 56 yrs (18-83)] were included. Thirty-two percent of the patients were positive for anti-CCP at baseline. Anti-CCP correlated significantly (p < 0.001) with a progressive erosive disease after 2 years, but not with a low functional capacity. The combination of a positive anti-CCP status and radiographic damage at baseline could predict the radiographic progression with a sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of 78%, 82%, and 81%, respectively. The positive predictive value (PPV) for radiographic progressive disease was 63%, while the negative predictive value (NPV) was 90%. The accuracy of the model decreased from 81 to 76% after leaving out anti-CCP from the model. In a subgroup of 178 IgM-RF negative patients, the PPV for radiographic progressive disease was 40%, while the NPV was 95%.Anti-CCP positivity has a small additional value above the conventional prognostic variables for progressive erosive disease in a cohort of patients with early inflammatory oligo- and polyarthritis. The prognostic value of anti-CCP lies mainly in its ability to predict mild disease. This effect is accentuated in the subgroup of IgM-RF negative patients.
Adult, Aged, 80 and over, Male, Early prognosis, Adolescent, Cyclic citrullinated peptide, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Antibodies, Arthritis, Rheumatoid, Cohort Studies, Logistic Models, Predictive Value of Tests, Undifferentiated polyarthritis, Citrulline, Humans, Female, Rheumatoid arthritis, Peptides, Aged, Autoantibodies
Adult, Aged, 80 and over, Male, Early prognosis, Adolescent, Cyclic citrullinated peptide, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Antibodies, Arthritis, Rheumatoid, Cohort Studies, Logistic Models, Predictive Value of Tests, Undifferentiated polyarthritis, Citrulline, Humans, Female, Rheumatoid arthritis, Peptides, Aged, Autoantibodies
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