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Türkiye'de GSYİH ile ihracat arasındaki ilişki: Granger nedensellik testi

Authors: TAKIM, Abdullah;

Türkiye'de GSYİH ile ihracat arasındaki ilişki: Granger nedensellik testi

Abstract

Gelişmekte olan ülkelerde ihracattaki artışın ekonomik büyümeyi artıracağı beklentisi, korumacı politikaların terk edilip, liberal politikaların tercih edilmesinde etkili olmaktadır. Bu politikaları uygulayan ülkelerin büyüme hızlarındaki artış, gelişmekte olan ülkeler ve Türkiye için politika değişikliğini motive edici bir durum ortaya çıkarmıştır. Türkiye, 1980 yılına kadar uyguladığı ithal ikameci politikayı terk ederek, ihracata dayalı büyüme modelini benimsemiştir. Ancak birçok ülke örneğinde görüldüğü gibi, ihracatın iktisat politikalarının uygulanmasında pozitif bir dışsallık mı, yoksa ekonomik büyümenin lokomotifi mi olduğu, iktisadi literatürün tartışmalı konularındandır. Bu çalışmada, 1975-2008 Türkiye verilerini kullanarak ihracat ile büyüme arasındaki ilişki Granger Nedensellik analiziyle test edilmiş ve ihracat artışının büyümedeki artışı desteklemediği sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.

Country
Turkey
Related Organizations
Keywords

Gayrisafi Yurtiçi Hasıla;İhracat;Ekonomik Büyüme;Granger Nedensellik Testi, İktisat

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
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