Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Afyon Kocatepe Ünive...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
versions View all 1 versions
addClaim

Önkestirim amaçlı kullanılan farklı yöntemlerin karşılaştırılması: Kripto paralar üzerine bir uygulama

Authors: Fermancı, Nefise;

Önkestirim amaçlı kullanılan farklı yöntemlerin karşılaştırılması: Kripto paralar üzerine bir uygulama

Abstract

In this study, using datasets of hourly and daily Bitcoin, Litecoin and Ethereum cryptocurrencies, forecasting values are obtained with the help of Integrated Autoregressive Moving Average (ARIMA), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and ATA methods, which have become increasingly important in time series analysis in recent years. results were compared. In determining the model that gives the closest result to the real values, the mean squares of error (MSE) values are taken into account, and the models are compared. In the analysis results, it was observed that the results obtained from the ATA, ANN and ARIMA models were the closest to the actual and the MSE values of these methods were the smallest, respectively. Detailed results obtained from the study are given in the relevant figures and tables.

Bu çalışmada saatlik ve günlük Bitcoin, Litecoin ve Ethereum kripto para birimlerine ait veri setleri kullanılarak, zaman serileri analizinde son yıllarda önemi gittikçe artan Bütünleşik Otoregresif Hareketli Ortalama (ARIMA), Yapay Sinir Ağları (YSA) ve ATA metotları yardımı ile önkestirimler yapılarak elde edilen sonuçlar karşılaştırılmıştır. Gerçek değerlere en yakın sonuç veren modeli belirlemede Hata Kareler Ortalaması (HKO) değerleri dikkate alınarak modeller karşılaştırılmıştır. Yapılan analiz sonuçlarında sırası ile ATA, YSA ve ARIMA modellerden elde edilen sonuçların gerçeğe en yakın ve bu metotlara ait HKO değerlerinin sırası ile en küçük olduğu gözlemlenmiştir. Çalışmadan elde edilen ayrıntılı sonuçlar ilgili şekil ve çizelgelerde verilmiştir.

Country
Turkey
Keywords

ATA Metodu, Yapay sinir ağları, Zaman Serileri, Bütünleşik otoregresif hareketli ortalama

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green