
handle: 11573/760249
The aim of this research is to analyze the causes of the stagnation of total fertility rate in Egypt at the level of around 3 children per woman. The main hypothesis is based on the persistence of early marriage among young Egyptians: strong familiar ties can ease the cost of marriage for young couples, especially for housing and household furnishing. The analysis will be based on young people in Egypt: according to the last census (2006) about 16 million Egyptians have between 18 and 30 years; young people under the age of 30 accounted for 63% of the total population. Compared to the generation of their parents, young Egyptians have a higher level of education: at the same time they have to deal with problems such as unemployment and the economic crisis. These factors may have consequences such as delaying the age at marriage. However, for Egyptian women, the mean age at first marriage has increased by 3 years between 1960 and 2008: from 20 to 23 years. Marriage is almost universal: only 2% of women between 45 and 49 years old had never been married according to EDHS 2008. Men’ mean age at first marriage has increased by 3 years in a period of 35 years, today it is about 29 years. The research is based on the Survey of Young People in Egypt (SYPE) conducted in 2009 by the Population Council. A sample of 15,029 young people aged between 10 and 29 years were interviewed at national level. The survey contains data on five key issues in the transition to adulthood: work, family formation, reproductive health, civic and political participation. In this research, I will use also data from other sources: the Egyptian Fertility Survey (EFS) of 1980, the Egyptian Demographic and Health Surveys (EDHS) of 1988, 1992, 1995, 2000, 2003, 2005 and 2008. Finally, I will use the data provided by the national statistical Egypt (CAPMAS) and the United Nations.
Egypt; Youth; marriage; transition to adulthood
Egypt; Youth; marriage; transition to adulthood
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