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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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Technological Diffusion and Cyclical Growth

Authors: FANTI, LUCIANO;

Technological Diffusion and Cyclical Growth

Abstract

The models of technology diffusion originally proposed by Metcalfe (1981), Batten (1987) and Amable (1992) are modified so as to allows for price expectations of adopters and suppliers of an innovation. We show many interesting and somewhat unexpected results, which were not noticed in the preceding models: i) productive technologies with higher returns or small fixed costs, ii) large market dimension (e.g. as a consequence of economic growth), iii) high speed of adoption, and iv) "cautious" investors in production of innovation, tend to prevent a balanced development of an innovation. Moreover 1) a co-existence of multiple equilibria, depending on initial conditions of new technology diffusion, 2) cyclical evolution of the new technique as a rule rather than an exception, are shown. Finally, some implications for policy interventions as well as firmsù marketing policies emerge.

Country
Italy
Related Organizations
Keywords

technological diffusion, Hopf bifurcation, cyclical growth, jel: jel:O30

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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