Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Archivio istituziona...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
addClaim

This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.

You have already added 0 works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.

Essays in Econometric Analysis

Authors: BAI, YU;

Essays in Econometric Analysis

Abstract

The thesis consists of three chapters on econometrics analysis, both theoretical and applied. In the first chapter, which is coauthored with Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark and Massimiliano Marcellino, we propose a hierarchical shrinkage approach for multi-country VAR models. To make the approach operational, we consider three different scale mixtures of Normals priors --- specifically, Horseshoe, Normal-Gamma, and Normal-Gamma-Gamma priors. We provide new theoretical results for the Normal-Gamma prior. Empirically, we use a quarterly data set for G7 economies to examine how model specifications and prior choices affect the forecasting performance for GDP growth, inflation, and a short-term interest rate. We find that hierarchical shrinkage, particularly as implemented with the Horseshoe prior, is very useful in forecasting inflation. It also has the best density forecast performance for output growth and the interest rate. Adding foreign information yields benefits, as multi-country models generally improve on the forecast accuracy of single-country models. In the second chapter, which is coauthored with George Kapetanios and Massimiliano Marcellino, we develop kernel-based non-parametric estimation and inferential theory for large heterogeneous panel data models with stochastic time-varying coefficients. We propose mean group and pooled estimators, derive asymptotic distributions and show the uniform consistency and asymptotic normality of path coefficients. We extend the procedures to the case with possibly endogenous regressors and propose a time-varying version of the Hausman exogeneity test. Proposed estimators are investigated through a Monte Carlo study. We also present two empirical applications, exploring time-varying price elasticity of U.S. gasoline demand functions and estimating the panel versions of time-varying backward-looking and forward-looking Phillips curves. In the third chapter, I develop time-varying continuously updated GMM estimation and inferential theory for moment conditional models whose coefficients vary stochastically over time. Then, I extend overidentification test, Wald-type test for restrictions on model parameters to time-varying setting and propose the uniform version of these tests and a test for parameter stability. After deriving the asymptotic properties of the estimators and test statistics, I assess their finite sample performance by an extensive Monte-Carlo study and illustrate their application by an empirical example on conditional asset pricing models with SDF representation.

Related Organizations
  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green
Related to Research communities