Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Pamukkale University...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
versions View all 1 versions
addClaim

SUSTAINABILITY OF EXTERNAL DEBT: PANEL COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS OF THE FRAGILE FIVE

Authors: Akın, Tuğba; Güneş, Sevcan;

SUSTAINABILITY OF EXTERNAL DEBT: PANEL COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS OF THE FRAGILE FIVE

Abstract

Expansionary monetary and fiscal policies implemented after the economic contraction brought on by the covid-19 pandemic and the ensuing global crisis caused the debt sustainability problem to become the primary concern of all national economies. Consequently, analyzing India, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa and Turkey has become more important as these countries have structural weaknesses in their balance of payments. In this study, the debt sustainability of these countries, which are also known as the fragile five due to their similar problems in macroeconomic variables, was analyzed for the period of 2001-2019. The paper adopts the methodology developed by Hakkio and Rush (1991), Sawada (1994), and onel and Utkulu (2006). In this context, the cointegration relationship between the variables that cause and decrease external debt was examined using the Panel ECM test (Westerlund, 2007). This paper utilzies countries' trade balance, change in central bank currency reserves, net public transfers and interest rate (Libor and CDS) on total debt as variables. Results of the panel cointegration test show that the countries' sustainability of external debt is weak. The country-level analyses show that only Mexico has strong external debt sustainability and Turkey, having the highest CDS premium among the five, has the weakest external debt sustainability

Country
Turkey
Related Organizations
Keywords

Governments, 330, Sustainability, Budget, External Debt, Panel Co-Integration, Countries

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green