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Gediz Havzası yağışlarının stokastik modellemesi

Authors: Kıvanç Topçuoğlu; Gülay Pamuk; Mustafa Özgürel;

Gediz Havzası yağışlarının stokastik modellemesi

Abstract

Bu çalışmada; günümüzde sentetik seri üretiminde en sık kullanılan model olarak görülen ARIMA modelleri kullanılarak, Gediz Havzasının gelecekteki yağış potansiyelinin tahmin edilmesi amaçlanmıştır. Gediz Havzası için oluşturulan model sonucu, 100 yıllık dönem sonunda, havza içinde yıllık toplam yağışın % 2,4 oranında azalacağı belirlenmiştir.

In this study, with using the most often employed model ARIMA for producting syntetic series the rainfall potential estimation for the future in Gediz Basin is aimed. As a result of the model that is created for the Gediz Basin, at the end of the century time period, it is defined that total annual precipitation will decrease by %2.4

Country
Turkey
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Keywords

Ziraat, Mühendislik

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green