
Many forensic experts report their findings in probabilistic terms. Experiments have shown that judges have difficulties understanding these reports and probabilistic reasoning in general. The use of probability theory in criminal courts seems to pose serious risks to the quality of judicial evidential decision making. I argue for more and better education and for the introduction of experts in probability theory as clerks or as members of specialized chambers of the court.
probability clerks, judicial decision making, probability judges, evidence, probability, proof, fallacies
probability clerks, judicial decision making, probability judges, evidence, probability, proof, fallacies
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