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UiS Brage
Bachelor thesis . 2025
Data sources: UiS Brage
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Verdsettelse av MOWI ASA

Authors: Buer Åsebø, Sondre; Pedersen Matre, Emil;

Verdsettelse av MOWI ASA

Abstract

Formålet med denne oppgaven var å vurdere verdien av Mowi ASA per 31. desember 2024, med problemstillingen: "Hva er verdien av Mowi ASA per 31. desember 2024?". Vi benyttet både kontantstrømbasert verdsettelse (DCF) og markedsbasert verdsettelse ved bruk av relevante multipler for å estimere aksjeverdien. Gjennom disse metodene kom vi frem til estimater på henholdsvis 268,10 kroner per aksje og 156,95 kroner per aksje. Ved å tildele lik vekt til begge metodene, kom vi frem til en endelig aksjeverdi på 212,53 kroner. I oppgaven ble det først gjennomført en teoretisk gjennomgang av de valgte verdsettelsesmetodene. Deretter ble det utført en strategisk analyse av Mowi, Disse analysene ga innsikt i både eksterne makroforhold og interne kapabiliteter som påvirker selskapets langsiktige vekstmuligheter og konkurransesituasjon. Vi gikk deretter videre på den markedsbaserte verdsettelsen, før vi estimerte kontantstrømmene frem til 2028 estimert og diskontert tilbake til nåtid ved hjelp av DCF-modellen, samtidig som de eksterne og interne forholdene ble vurdert. For å vurdere usikkerheten i verdsettelsen ble en sensitivitetsanalyse utført, der vi undersøkte hvordan endringer i vekstfaktor og WACC påvirket resultatene. Analysen viste at Mowis selskapsverdi er svært sensitiv for endringer i disse parameterne, og vi understreket betydningen av konservative forutsetninger i verdsettelsen. Basert på den estimerte aksjeverdien og de valgte metodene, konkluderte vi med en hold- anbefaling, ettersom aksjeverdien er nær markedsprisen på 194,75 kroner per 30. desember 2024. Vi la også et usikkerhetsintervall på ±10 % til grunn for å fange opp volatiliteten i aksjemarkedet.

The purpose of this thesis was to assess the value of Mowi ASA as of December 31, 2024, with the research question: "What is the value of Mowi ASA as of December 31, 2024?". We used both cash flow-based valuation (DCF) and market-based valuation through relevant multiples to estimate the stock price. Through these methods, we arrived at estimates of NOK 268.10 per share and NOK 156.95 per share, respectively. By assigning equal weight to both methods, we concluded with a final stock value of NOK 212.53. The thesis began with a theoretical review of the chosen valuation methods. A strategic analysis of Mowi was then conducted. This analys provided insights into both external macro conditions and internal capabilities that affect the company’s long-term growth prospects and competitive situation. We then proceeded with the market-based valuation. Before we estimated the cash flows through to 2028 and discounted them to the present using the DCF model, while considering both external and internal factors. To assess the uncertainty in the valuation, a sensitivity analysis was performed, examining how changes in the growth factor and WACC affected the results. The analysis showed that Mowi’s company value is highly sensitive to changes in these parameters, and we emphasized the importance of conservative assumptions in the valuation. Based on the estimated stock value and the chosen methods, we concluded with a hold recommendation, as the stock value is close to the market price of NOK 194.75 as of December 30, 2024. We also applied an uncertainty interval of ±10% to capture the volatility in the stock market.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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