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Variasjon i strømpriser

Authors: Vu, Le Quyen;

Variasjon i strømpriser

Abstract

Formålet med denne masteroppgaven er å beskrive strømprisene som en stokastisk differensiallikning med mål om å utvikle modeller som skal representere disse prisene. Disse modellene vil gi oss innsikt i strømprisenes struktur og utvikling over tid. Vi kommer til å bruke følgende stokastiske differensiallikning \[dX_t = \theta(m_t - X_t)dt + \sigma dB_t\] hvor $\theta$, $m_t$ og $\sigma$ er parametere som skal estimeres slik at de passer best mulig til observerte data for strømpriser. For å oppnå dette målet vil vi gi en innføring i grunnleggende begreper innenfor stokastiske prosesser, inkludert brownske bevegelser, martingaler og Ornstein-Uhlenbeck prosesser. Videre vil vi diskutere variasjon av stokastiske prosesser, Girsanovs teorem og maximum likelihood estimation for å utvikle metoder for å estimere parameterne i prosessen.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green