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Determinants of Financial Development in Iran: Do Financial Repression Policies Hinder Financial Development?

Authors: Nejad, Omid Dehghan;

Determinants of Financial Development in Iran: Do Financial Repression Policies Hinder Financial Development?

Abstract

ABSTRACT: It has been widely discussed in the financial development literature that repressive financial policies have an adverse impact on financial development process in developing countries. Against this backdrop, the purpose of this thesis is to investigate the determinants of financial development in Iran in its post-revolution era and to assess whether financial repression has a significant impact on financial development using annual data spanning the period between 1965 and 2006. For this purpose, the time-series econometric technique of Johansen Cointegration analysis has been used. The results of the cointegration tests suggest that trade openness, savings and economic growth are statistically significant with a positive coefficient, which means that these variables have a positive impact on financial development in the case of Iran. On the other hand, financial repression index and reserve requirement ratio have a negative coefficient, which suggest that repressive financial policies have indeed a negative impact on financial development process in the case of Iran. An interesting finding of the thesis is that inflation has a positive impact on financial development in the case of Iran. This is an interesting result as theoretically inflation is expected to inhibit financial development process. Nevertheless, this finding is in line with the theory that there is a critical inflation rate, below which a modest rise in inflation can encourage real activity and promote financial development rather than obstructing financial development. Keywords: Financial Development, Financial Repression, Johansen Cointegration. …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ÖZ: Finansal bask politikalar n n finansal kalk nma sürecini olumsuz etkilemesi finansal kalkınma literatüründe sıkça tartışıl maktadır. Dolayısıyle, bu tez İran’daki finansal kalkınma sürecinin belirleyicilerini araştırmak ve finansal baskı politikalarının finansal kalkınma sürecine istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir etkisi olup olmadığını 1965 ve 2006 yıllarını kapsayan yıllık verilere dayanarak Johansen eş-bütünleşme testi ile araştırmayı amaçlamaktadır. Johansen eş-bütünleşme testi sonuçlarına gore ticari açıklık, tasarruflar ve iktisadi büyüme İran’daki finansal kalkınma sürecini olumlu etkilemektedir. Öte yandan, yine Johansen eş-bütünleşme testi sonuçlarına gore finansal baskı endeksi ve mevduat munzam karşılığı oranının İran’daki finansal kalkınma sürecini olumsuz etkilediği sonucuna varılmıştır. Tezin ilgi çekici bir sonucu olarak enflasyonun finansal kalkınma sürecini olumlu etkilediği tespit edilmiştir. Teorik olarak enflasyonun finansal kalkınma sürecini olumsuz etkilemesi öngörülmesine rağmen bu tez ile İran için bunun tersi bir sonuç elde edilmesi, alternatif bir sav olan belli bir eşik değerin altındaki enflasyonun finansal kalkınma sürecini engellemek yerine destekleyici bir rol oynadığını öne süren teori ile izah edilebilmektedir. Anahtar Kelimeler: Finansal Kalkınma, Finansal Baskı, Johansen Eş-Bütünleşme.

Keywords

Banking and Finance, Iran - Economic Conditions, Financial Development - Financial Repression - Johansen Cointegration

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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