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Oil Price Shocks and Stock Markets

Authors: Elçin, Mustafa;

Oil Price Shocks and Stock Markets

Abstract

ABSTRACT: This study investigates long term relationship between output, oil price and stock market movements in the selected countries from different regions for comparison purposes such as Germany, Japan, Singapore, South Africa, Turkey, UK and USA. Using annual data from 1973 to 2010, empirical analysis shows that oil and stock markets are long term determinants in these countries. It is investigated that real income in these countries converges to its long term equilibrium level at reasonable levels through the channels of oil markets, stock markets, and business environment (as proxied by industrial value added). Keywords: Oil prices; Stock markets; Output; Bounds Tests; ECM. …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ÖZ: Bu çalışmada, Almanya, Japonya, Singapur, Güney Afrika, Türkiye, İngiltere ve ABD gibi farklı bölgelerden seçilen ülkelerdeki çıktı, petrol fiyatı ve borsa hareketleri arasındaki uzun dönemli ilişkiyi araştırmayı hedeflemiştir. Çalışmada 1973 ve 2010 arası yıllık verileri kullanılarak, ampirik analiz petrol ve hisse senedi piyasaları, bu ülkelerde uzun vadeli belirleyicileri olduğunu göstermektedir. Bu ülkelerde reel gelir petrol piyasaları, hisse senedi piyasaları ve iş ortamı kanallardan makul seviyelerde uzun dönem denge düzeyine yakınsar incelenmiştir. Anahtar Kelimeler: Petrol fiyatları; Hisse senedi piyasaları; Çıktı; Sınır testi; Hata düzeltme modeli.

Keywords

Oil Prices and Finance - Oil Prices Shocks, Banking and Finance, Petroleum Industry and Trade, Oil Prices - Stock Markets - Output - BoundsTests - ECM

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green