
handle: 11129/1771
ABSTRACT: This thesis aims to comparatively analyze the macroeconomic performance and volatility of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) over the period 1980 – 2010, which is further categorized into three sub-periods: 1980–1990, 1990–2000, and 2000–2010. I compute and compare the respective period averages and volatility measures of selected macroeconomic parameters, such as GDP growth; inflation, saving, investment, and unemployment rates; general government balance (% of GDP); export-to-import ratio; shares of exports and imports in GDP; trade openness (as measured by the ratio of the sum of exports and imports as a proportion of GDP); and current account balance (% of GDP). The averages are compared primarily to determine the factors that cause fluctuations and dramatic increases/decreases in the aforementioned parameters, as well as to identify the highest and lowest recorded values of the parameters. I also comparatively analyze the sectorial composition of TRNC’s GDP. Computations of volatility focus on which period exhibits the highest and lowest volatility across the entire period studied Keywords: Macroeconomic Performance, Volatility, Comparative Analysis. ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ÖZ: Bu tez Kuzey Kıbrıs Türk Cumhuriyetinin 1980 2010 yılları arasını kategorize edilmiş üç periyot halinde macroekonomik performansını ve volatilitesini analiz etmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Reel buyume hızı, enflasyon, tasarruflar, yatırımlar, işsizlik oranı, genel devlet dengesi, ithalat ve ihracat orani, ihracat ve ithalatin gayri safi yurtiçi hasılatı içerisindeki payı, dışa açıklık oranı (Bir ülkenin ihracat ve ithalat değerleri toplamının millî gelire oranı) gibi makroekonomik parametreleri periyodlar içindeki avarajlarını ve volatilitelerini hesaplayıp kıyasladım. Yukarıda bahsi geçen parametrelerin avarajları kaydedilen değerlerdeki ani iniş çıkışları tespit etmek, en yüksek ve en düşük değerleri ve dalgalanmaları gostermek icin hesaplanmıştı. Volatilite hesaplamalari ise periodlar içinde en düşük ve en yüksek değerleri göstermek icin yapılmıştır. Anahtar Kelimeler: Makroekonomik performans, Volatilite, karşılaştırmalı analiz.
Macroeconomic Performance, Comparative Analysis, Volatility, Financial Economics - Cyprus (Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, Financial Economics - Cyprus (Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, 1983-), Macroeconomics - Economic Development, 1983-), Business Administration, Macroeconomic Performance, Volatility, Comparative Analysis
Macroeconomic Performance, Comparative Analysis, Volatility, Financial Economics - Cyprus (Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, Financial Economics - Cyprus (Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, 1983-), Macroeconomics - Economic Development, 1983-), Business Administration, Macroeconomic Performance, Volatility, Comparative Analysis
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