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Štatistické modelovanie javu El Nino - Južná oscilácia v klimatológii

Authors: Jajcay, N. (Nikola); Paluš, M. (Milan);

Štatistické modelovanie javu El Nino - Južná oscilácia v klimatológii

Abstract

When it comes to modelling in atmospheric and climate science, the two main types of models are taken into account – dynamical and statistical models. The former ones have a physical basis: they utilize discretised differential equations with a set of conditions (boundary conditions + present state as an initial condition) and model the system’s state by integrating the equations forward in time. The statistical models are considerably different: they are not based on physical mechanisms underlying the dynamics of the modeled system, but derived form the analysis of past weather patterns. The example of such statistical model, based on the idea of linear inverse modelling, is examined for modelling the El Nino – Southern Oscillation phenomenon with a focus on modeling cross-scale interactions in the temporal sense. Various noise parameterizations and the possibility of using multi-variable model are discussed among other characteristics of statistical model. The prospect of using statistical models with low complexity as a surrogate models for statistical testing is also discussed.

Country
Czech Republic
Related Organizations
Keywords

modelling, cross-scale interactions, statistical model, empirical model, ENSO, stochastic model

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green
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