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Revisiting Public Investment Multipliers

Authors: Adarov, Amat; Clements, Benedict; Jalles, João Tovar;

Revisiting Public Investment Multipliers

Abstract

The paper examines the macroeconomic effects of public investment in emerging market and developing economies. To this end, the analysis develops a new measure of public investment shocks based on cyclically adjusted government investment. Estimations using local projections based on a large sample of 129 countries over 1980–2019 suggest that public investment can significantly boost economic growth: an increase in public investment by 1 percent of gross domestic product raises output by 1.1 percent after five years, on average. However, the effects are much larger when public investment spending is efficient and fiscal space is ample—reaching up to 1.6 percent over the same period. Public investment multipliers tend to be larger during recessions and in capital-scarce economies. The paper also finds that public investment can crowd in private investment, as well as boost productivity and potential output.

Country
United States
Related Organizations
Keywords

PEACE, SDG 16, 330, PUBLIC INVESTMENT, FISCAL MULTIPLIERS, LOCAL PROJECTIONS, JUSTICE AND STRONG INSTITUTIONS, SDG 8, PEACE, JUSTICE AND STRONG INSTITUTIONS, GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION, DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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