From Demographic Dividend to Demographic Burden?
From Demographic Dividend to Demographic Burden?
Do regions with higher working age populations grow faster? This paper examines this question using data from Russian regions and finds evidence that demographic trends influence regional growth convergence. In other words, keeping other factors constant, poorer regions grow faster than richer regions, and some of the growth convergence is explained by demographic changes: faster growth in poor regions in the past was related in part to more favorable demographic trends. This finding has important consequences for Russia. If the demographic trends in poorer regions worsen in the future, this could dampen economic convergence. Unless there are significant increases in labor productivity or additions to the labor force through migration, growth in Russian regions will moderate as the Russian population shrinks and ages in the coming decades.
- World Bank United States
AGE POPULATIONS, CONSEQUENCES OF POPULATION, ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF POPULATION, YOUNG POPULATION, GROWTH RATES, POOR REGIONS, DEMOGRAPHIC, ECONOMIC GROWTH, OFFICIAL POPULATION, IMMIGRANTS, LOWER BIRTH RATES, LOW FERTILITY, REGIONAL CONFLICTS, LEVEL OF DEVELOPMENT, POLICY MAKERS, POPULATION, NATIONAL LEVEL, MIGRANTS, INCOME, TOTAL FERTILITY RATE, WORLD POPULATION, INTERREGIONAL CONVERGENCE, WOMEN, MEN, WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS, ELDERLY POPULATION, POVERTY, INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT, RICH REGIONS, EFFECTIVE POLICIES, POPULATIONS, DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS, FERTILITY RATES, REGIONAL TRENDS, 330, PENSIONS, LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH, POLICY DISCUSSIONS, DAY CARE, ELDERLY PEOPLE, NUMBER OF WORKERS, DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION, AGE, ADULT MORTALITY, FERTILITY, FERTILITY RATE, AGE GROUPS, PROGRESS, LABOR MARKET, ELDERLY, NATURAL RESOURCE, DECLINE IN FERTILITY, INCOME INEQUALITY, MORTALITY, DEVELOPMENT POLICY, DEPENDENCY RATIOS, YOUNG AGE, REGIONAL LEVEL, POLICY IMPLICATIONS, DIVIDEND, DEMOGRAPHICS, SOCIAL SECURITY, LEVEL OF EDUCATION, DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS, REGIONAL GROWTH, LOWER FERTILITY, DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE, RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH, URBAN POPULATION, REGIONAL ECONOMIC CONVERGENCE, OLD-AGE, ECONOMIC TRENDS, LIFE EXPECTANCY, POPULATION INCREASE, REGIONAL DATA, POPULATION PROJECTIONS, EXCHANGE, INTERNAL MIGRATION, LONGER LIFE, POPULATION STATISTICS, POORER REGIONS, BIRTH RATES, WOMAN, DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS, POLICIES, POLICY, REGIONS, REGIONAL POPULATION, CAPITAL STOCK, NATIONAL LEVELS, DEMOGRAPHIC DATA, OUTPUT, HUMAN CAPITAL, MORTALITY RATES, RETIREMENT AGE, SEX, EQUITY, BOND, FEWER PEOPLE, HIGH FERTILITY RATE, MIGRATION, EXTERNAL MIGRATION, PUBLIC POLICY, DEPENDENCY RATIO, FEWER CHILDREN, REGIONAL CONVERGENCE, POLICY RESEARCH, REGION, GROWTH RATE, ECONOMIC STRUCTURE, FUTURE, QUALITY OF LIFE, PEOPLE, LIFELONG LEARNING, PUBLIC POLICIES, POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER, WORKFORCE, SEX RATIO, POPULATION CHANGE, MIGRATION FLOWS, BARRIERS, INTEREST, CAPITAL ACCUMULATION, NATURAL RESOURCES, LABOR FORCE, REGIONAL SAMPLE, MIGRATION STATISTICS, SAVINGS, POPULATION BY AGE, DISCRIMINATION, SHARE, RICH” REGIONS, WORKING-AGE POPULATION, DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES, POVERTY RATE
AGE POPULATIONS, CONSEQUENCES OF POPULATION, ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF POPULATION, YOUNG POPULATION, GROWTH RATES, POOR REGIONS, DEMOGRAPHIC, ECONOMIC GROWTH, OFFICIAL POPULATION, IMMIGRANTS, LOWER BIRTH RATES, LOW FERTILITY, REGIONAL CONFLICTS, LEVEL OF DEVELOPMENT, POLICY MAKERS, POPULATION, NATIONAL LEVEL, MIGRANTS, INCOME, TOTAL FERTILITY RATE, WORLD POPULATION, INTERREGIONAL CONVERGENCE, WOMEN, MEN, WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS, ELDERLY POPULATION, POVERTY, INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT, RICH REGIONS, EFFECTIVE POLICIES, POPULATIONS, DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS, FERTILITY RATES, REGIONAL TRENDS, 330, PENSIONS, LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH, POLICY DISCUSSIONS, DAY CARE, ELDERLY PEOPLE, NUMBER OF WORKERS, DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION, AGE, ADULT MORTALITY, FERTILITY, FERTILITY RATE, AGE GROUPS, PROGRESS, LABOR MARKET, ELDERLY, NATURAL RESOURCE, DECLINE IN FERTILITY, INCOME INEQUALITY, MORTALITY, DEVELOPMENT POLICY, DEPENDENCY RATIOS, YOUNG AGE, REGIONAL LEVEL, POLICY IMPLICATIONS, DIVIDEND, DEMOGRAPHICS, SOCIAL SECURITY, LEVEL OF EDUCATION, DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS, REGIONAL GROWTH, LOWER FERTILITY, DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE, RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH, URBAN POPULATION, REGIONAL ECONOMIC CONVERGENCE, OLD-AGE, ECONOMIC TRENDS, LIFE EXPECTANCY, POPULATION INCREASE, REGIONAL DATA, POPULATION PROJECTIONS, EXCHANGE, INTERNAL MIGRATION, LONGER LIFE, POPULATION STATISTICS, POORER REGIONS, BIRTH RATES, WOMAN, DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS, POLICIES, POLICY, REGIONS, REGIONAL POPULATION, CAPITAL STOCK, NATIONAL LEVELS, DEMOGRAPHIC DATA, OUTPUT, HUMAN CAPITAL, MORTALITY RATES, RETIREMENT AGE, SEX, EQUITY, BOND, FEWER PEOPLE, HIGH FERTILITY RATE, MIGRATION, EXTERNAL MIGRATION, PUBLIC POLICY, DEPENDENCY RATIO, FEWER CHILDREN, REGIONAL CONVERGENCE, POLICY RESEARCH, REGION, GROWTH RATE, ECONOMIC STRUCTURE, FUTURE, QUALITY OF LIFE, PEOPLE, LIFELONG LEARNING, PUBLIC POLICIES, POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER, WORKFORCE, SEX RATIO, POPULATION CHANGE, MIGRATION FLOWS, BARRIERS, INTEREST, CAPITAL ACCUMULATION, NATURAL RESOURCES, LABOR FORCE, REGIONAL SAMPLE, MIGRATION STATISTICS, SAVINGS, POPULATION BY AGE, DISCRIMINATION, SHARE, RICH” REGIONS, WORKING-AGE POPULATION, DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES, POVERTY RATE
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